🇧🇷 Brazil 1–1 Croatia 🇭🇷
2022 World Cup · Quarter-final. tournament · tables
🇧🇷 Brazil value €1142M · value #2 · Elo #1
Vinícius Júnior €120M Rodrygo €80M Neymar €75M 1–1 draw
🇭🇷 Croatia value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11
Joško Gvardiol €60M Mateo Kovačić €40M Marcelo Brozović €35M Goals
Brazil ▲ Croatia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Neymar 105+1' 106 Neymar Bruno Petković 117' 117 Petković
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇷 Brazil
Alisson · GK 1 Alisson Éder Militão · RB 14 Militão Danilo · LB 2 Danilo Thiago Silva · CB 3 Silva Marquinhos · CB 4 Marquinhos Neymar · AM 10 Neymar Casemiro · CM 5 Casemiro Lucas Paquetá · CM 7 Paquetá Raphinha · RW 11 Raphinha Vinícius Júnior · LW 20 Júnior Richarlison · CF 9 Richarlison 🇭🇷 Croatia
Dominik Livaković · GK 1 Livaković Borna Sosa · LB 19 Sosa Joško Gvardiol · CB 20 Gvardiol Josip Juranović · RB 22 Juranović Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Marcelo Brozović · DM 11 Brozović Mario Pašalić · RF 15 Pašalić Ivan Perišić · LF 4 Perišić Mateo Kovačić · CM 8 Kovačić Andrej Kramarić · CF 9 Kramarić Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇷 Brazil 66.9% draw 21.2% 11.9% Croatia 🇭🇷
Model P(result)
21.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#69
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.24
−log₂ P(observed)
Brazil's run W 🇷🇸 2–0 Serbia, Group W 🇨🇭 1–0 Switzerland, Group L 🇨🇲 0–1 Cameroon, Group W 🇰🇷 4–1 South Korea, Round of 16 D 🇭🇷 1–1 Croatia, Quarter-final Croatia's run D 🇲🇦 0–0 Morocco, Group W 🇨🇦 4–1 Canada, Group D 🇧🇪 0–0 Belgium, Group D 🇯🇵 1–1 Japan, Round of 16 D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇦🇷 0–3 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇲🇦 2–1 Morocco, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup