🇦🇺 Australia 1–0 Denmark 🇩🇰

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €37M · value #29 · Elo #26

1–0Australia win

value €353M · value #13 · Elo #8

Model P(result)

13.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.87

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

193

1735 vs 1928

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup