🇦🇺 Australia 1–0 Tunisia 🇹🇳

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €37M · value #29 · Elo #26

1–0Australia win

value €62M · value #27 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

33.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.58

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1703 vs 1724

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup