🇫🇷 France 4–1 Australia 🇦🇺

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1032M · value #3 · Elo #7

4–1France win

value €37M · value #29 · Elo #26

Model P(result)

74.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.42

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

284

2004 vs 1720

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup