🇦🇷 Argentina 2–1 Australia 🇦🇺

2022 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables

🇦🇷 Argentina
value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2
  • Lautaro Martínez €75M
  • Cristian Romero €55M
  • Lionel Messi €50M
2–1Argentina win
🇦🇺 Australia
value €37M · value #29 · Elo #26
  • Mathew Ryan €5M
  • Harry Souttar €4M
  • Aaron Mooy €4M
Goals
Argentina ▲Australia ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Lionel Messi 35'35MessiJulián Alvarez 57'57AlvarezEnzo Fernández 77' (o.g.)77Fernández
🇦🇷 Argentina
🇦🇺 Australia
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 79.8%draw 15.5%4.7% Australia 🇦🇺
Model P(result)
79.7%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#453
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.33
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
338
2118 vs 1780

Argentina's run

  • L 🇸🇦 1–2 Saudi Arabia, Group
  • W 🇲🇽 2–0 Mexico, Group
  • W 🇵🇱 2–0 Poland, Group
  • W 🇦🇺 2–1 Australia, Round of 16
  • D 🇳🇱 2–2 Netherlands, Quarter-final
  • W 🇭🇷 3–0 Croatia, Semi-final
  • D 🇫🇷 3–3 France, Final

Australia's run

  • L 🇫🇷 1–4 France, Group
  • W 🇹🇳 1–0 Tunisia, Group
  • W 🇩🇰 1–0 Denmark, Group
  • L 🇦🇷 1–2 Argentina, Round of 16

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.