🇦🇷 Argentina 2–1 Australia 🇦🇺

2022 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2

2–1Argentina win

value €37M · value #29 · Elo #26

Model P(result)

79.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

338

2118 vs 1780

Stage

Round of 16

2022 World Cup