🇩🇿 Algeria 3–3 Austria 🇦🇹 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €257M · value #23 · Elo #26

3–3draw

value €245M · value #24 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

26.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.92

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1780 vs 1841

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup