🇦🇹 Austria 3–1 Jordan 🇯🇴 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €245M · value #24 · Elo #21

3–1Austria win

value €20M · value #47 · Elo #36

Model P(result)

58.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.78

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

150

1830 vs 1680

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup