🇦🇷 Argentina 2–0 Austria 🇦🇹 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €808M · value #7 · Elo #2

2–0Argentina win

value €245M · value #24 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

73.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.45

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

271

2128 vs 1857

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup