🇵🇹 Portugal 2–2 United States 🇺🇸

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €297M · value #9 · Elo #6

2–2draw

value €58M · value #26 · Elo #13

Model P(result)

26.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.90

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1906 vs 1875

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup