🇸🇪 Sweden 2–1 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #28 · Elo #11

2–1Sweden win

value €0M · value #16 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

53.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

118

1871 vs 1753

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup