🇦🇷 Argentina 1–0 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #1 · Elo #2

1–0Argentina win

value €0M · value #16 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

71.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.48

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

256

2020 vs 1764

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup