🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 0–0 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #10 · Elo #6

0–0draw

value €0M · value #16 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

20.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.27

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

225

1958 vs 1733

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup