🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 1–1 Sweden 🇸🇪

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #10 · Elo #6

1–1draw

value €0M · value #28 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

26.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.92

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1924 vs 1866

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup