🇦🇷 Argentina 1–1 Sweden 🇸🇪

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #1 · Elo #2

1–1draw

value €0M · value #28 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

25.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.97

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

101

1992 vs 1891

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup