🇿🇦 South Africa 1–0 Slovenia 🇸🇮

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #25 · Elo #31

1–0South Africa win

value €0M · value #24 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

26.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.94

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1648 vs 1725

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup