🇪🇸 Spain 3–2 South Africa 🇿🇦

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #27 · Elo #5

3–2Spain win

value €0M · value #25 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

77.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.37

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

314

1999 vs 1685

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup