🇵🇾 Paraguay 2–2 South Africa 🇿🇦

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #17 · Elo #26

2–2draw

value €0M · value #25 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

25.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.95

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1730 vs 1640

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup