🇵🇾 Paraguay 2–2 South Africa 🇿🇦
2002 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
Goals
Paraguay ▲ South Africa ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Roque Santa Cruz 39' 39 Cruz Francisco Arce 55' 55 Arce Teboho Mokoena 63' 63 Mokoena Quinton Fortune 90+1' (pen) 91 Fortune
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇵🇾 Paraguay
Ricardo Tavarelli · GK 22 Tavarelli Julio César Cáceres · CB 18 Cáceres Francisco Arce · RWB 2 Arce Denis Caniza · LWB 21 Caniza Carlos Gamarra · CB 4 Gamarra Celso Ayala · CB 5 Ayala Roberto Acuña · CM 10 Acuña Jorge Campos · AM 11 Campos Estanislao Struway · CM 6 Struway Guido Alvarenga · CM 8 Alvarenga Roque Santa Cruz · CF 9 Cruz 🇿🇦 South Africa
Andre Arendse · GK 16 Arendse Pierre Issa · CB 13 Issa Lucas Radebe · CB 19 Radebe Bradley Carnell · LB 3 Carnell Aaron Mokoena · RB 4 Mokoena Teboho Mokoena · CM 12 Mokoena Cyril Nzama · RM 2 Nzama MacBeth Sibaya · CM 6 Sibaya Quinton Fortune · LM 7 Fortune Sibusiso Zuma · CF 15 Zuma Benni McCarthy · CF 17 McCarthy Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇵🇾 Paraguay 49.8% draw 25.8% 24.4% South Africa 🇿🇦
Model P(result)
25.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#126
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.95
−log₂ P(observed)
Paraguay's run D 🇿🇦 2–2 South Africa, Group L 🇪🇸 1–3 Spain, Group W 🇸🇮 3–1 Slovenia, Group L 🇩🇪 0–1 Germany, Round of 16 South Africa's run D 🇵🇾 2–2 Paraguay, Group W 🇸🇮 1–0 Slovenia, Group L 🇪🇸 2–3 Spain, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.