🇵🇾 Paraguay 3–1 Slovenia 🇸🇮

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #17 · Elo #26

3–1Paraguay win

value €0M · value #24 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

39.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.35

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1706 vs 1688

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup