🇪🇸 Spain 3–1 Slovenia 🇸🇮

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #27 · Elo #5

3–1Spain win

value €0M · value #24 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

67.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.57

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

218

1963 vs 1745

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup