🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 1–0 Argentina 🇦🇷

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #10 · Elo #6

1–0England win

value €0M · value #1 · Elo #2

Model P(result)

21.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.20

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

112

1919 vs 2031

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup