🇧🇪 Belgium 1–0 Russia 🇷🇺
2014 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇧🇪 Belgium value €348M · value #6 · Elo #15
Eden Hazard €45M Vincent Kompany €35M Axel Witsel €35M 1–0 Belgium win
🇷🇺 Russia value €180M · value #14 · Elo #16
Alan Dzagoev €23M Igor Akinfeev €20M Aleksandr Kokorin €18M Goals
Belgium ▲ Russia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Divock Origi 88' 88 Origi
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Daniel Van Buyten · CB 15 Buyten Toby Alderweireld · RB 2 Alderweireld Thomas Vermaelen · LB 3 Vermaelen Vincent Kompany · CB 4 Kompany Axel Witsel · CM 6 Witsel Kevin De Bruyne · AM 7 Bruyne Marouane Fellaini · CM 8 Fellaini Eden Hazard · LW 10 Hazard Dries Mertens · RW 14 Mertens Romelu Lukaku · CF 9 Lukaku 🇷🇺 Russia
Igor Akinfeev · GK 1 Akinfeev Vasili Berezutski · CB 14 Berezutski Aleksei Kozlov · RB 2 Kozlov Dmitri Kombarov · LB 23 Kombarov Sergei Ignashevich · CB 4 Ignashevich Viktor Fayzulin · CM 20 Fayzulin Maksim Kanunnikov · AM 6 Kanunnikov Denis Glushakov · DM 8 Glushakov Oleg Shatov · LW 17 Shatov Aleksandr Samedov · RW 19 Samedov Aleksandr Kokorin · CF 9 Kokorin Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇪 Belgium 40.8% draw 26.9% 32.3% Russia 🇷🇺
Model P(result)
40.9%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#225
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.29
−log₂ P(observed)
Belgium's run W 🇩🇿 2–1 Algeria, Group W 🇷🇺 1–0 Russia, Group W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group W 🇺🇸 2–1 United States, Round of 16 L 🇦🇷 0–1 Argentina, Quarter-final Russia's run D 🇰🇷 1–1 South Korea, Group L 🇧🇪 0–1 Belgium, Group D 🇩🇿 1–1 Algeria, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup