🇧🇪 Belgium 1–0 Russia 🇷🇺

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €348M · value #6 · Elo #15

1–0Belgium win

value €180M · value #14 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

40.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.29

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1864 vs 1834

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup