🇧🇪 Belgium 1–1 Tunisia 🇹🇳

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #2 · Elo #14

1–1draw

value €0M · value #29 · Elo #32

Model P(result)

19.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.36

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

251

1846 vs 1595

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup