🇵🇱 Poland 2–1 Costa Rica 🇨🇷

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €69M · value #16 · Elo #16

2–1Poland win

value €16M · value #29 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

49.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.02

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1750 vs 1663

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup