🇩🇪 Germany 4–2 Costa Rica 🇨🇷

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €181M · value #9 · Elo #10

4–2Germany win

value €16M · value #29 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

61.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.71

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

171

1895 vs 1724

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup