🇪🇨 Ecuador 3–0 Costa Rica 🇨🇷

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €18M · value #27 · Elo #27

3–0Ecuador win

value €16M · value #29 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

44.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.18

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1760 vs 1708

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup