🇩🇪 Germany 1–0 Poland 🇵🇱

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €181M · value #9 · Elo #10

1–0Germany win

value €69M · value #16 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

58.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.78

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

149

1911 vs 1762

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup