🇪🇨 Ecuador 2–0 Poland 🇵🇱

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €18M · value #27 · Elo #27

2–0Ecuador win

value €69M · value #16 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

20.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.27

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

122

1700 vs 1822

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup