🇬🇭 Ghana 2–1 United States 🇺🇸

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €65M · value #18 · Elo #28

2–1Ghana win

value €40M · value #22 · Elo #15

Model P(result)

21.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.25

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

119

1686 vs 1805

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup