🇺🇸 United States 2–1 Ghana 🇬🇭

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €58M · value #26 · Elo #13

2–1United States win

value €96M · value #22 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

58.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.77

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

153

1857 vs 1704

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup