🇮🇹 Italy 2–0 Ghana 🇬🇭

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €378M · value #1 · Elo #7

2–0Italy win

value €65M · value #18 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

78.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.34

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

327

1943 vs 1616

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup