🇧🇷 Brazil 3–0 Ghana 🇬🇭

2006 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €365M · value #2 · Elo #1

3–0Brazil win

value €65M · value #18 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

81.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.30

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

359

2085 vs 1726

Stage

Round of 16

2006 World Cup