🇬🇭 Ghana 1–0 Serbia 🇷🇸

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €59M · value #24 · Elo #25

1–0Ghana win

value €188M · value #10 · Elo #13

Model P(result)

17.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.52

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

153

1687 vs 1840

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup