🇦🇺 Australia 1–1 Ghana 🇬🇭

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €66M · value #23 · Elo #16

1–1draw

value €59M · value #24 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1745 vs 1729

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup