🇦🇺 Australia 2–1 Serbia 🇷🇸

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €66M · value #23 · Elo #16

2–1Australia win

value €188M · value #10 · Elo #13

Model P(result)

23.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.10

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1744 vs 1843

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup