🇩🇪 Germany 1–0 Ghana 🇬🇭

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €290M · value #7 · Elo #5

1–0Germany win

value €59M · value #24 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

66.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.59

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

211

1941 vs 1730

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup