🇷🇸 Serbia 1–0 Germany 🇩🇪
2010 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇷🇸 Serbia value €188M · value #10 · Elo #13
Nemanja Vidić €35M Miloš Krasić €18M Dejan Stanković €16M 1–0 Serbia win
🇩🇪 Germany value €290M · value #7 · Elo #5
Mario Gómez €28M Philipp Lahm €25M Bastian Schweinsteiger €24M Goals
Serbia ▲ Germany ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Milan Jovanović 38' 38 Jovanović
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇷🇸 Serbia
Vladimir Stojković · GK 1 Stojković Neven Subotić · CB 20 Subotić Aleksandar Kolarov · LB 3 Kolarov Nemanja Vidić · CB 5 Vidić Branislav Ivanović · RB 6 Ivanović Dejan Stanković · CM 10 Stanković Miloš Ninković · CM 18 Ninković Zdravko Kuzmanović · DM 22 Kuzmanović Milan Jovanović · LW 14 Jovanović Nikola Žigić · CF 15 Žigić Miloš Krasić · RW 17 Krasić 🇩🇪 Germany
Manuel Neuer · GK 1 Neuer Holger Badstuber · LB 14 Badstuber Philipp Lahm · RB 16 Lahm Per Mertesacker · CB 17 Mertesacker Arne Friedrich · CB 3 Friedrich Sami Khedira · CM 6 Khedira Bastian Schweinsteiger · CM 7 Schweinsteiger Mesut Özil · AM 8 Özil Lukas Podolski · LW 10 Podolski Miroslav Klose · CF 11 Klose Thomas Müller · RW 13 Müller Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇷🇸 Serbia 14.1% draw 22.4% 63.5% Germany 🇩🇪
Model P(result)
14.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#29
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.82
−log₂ P(observed)
Serbia's run L 🇬🇭 0–1 Ghana, Group W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Group L 🇦🇺 1–2 Australia, Group Germany's run W 🇦🇺 4–0 Australia, Group L 🇷🇸 0–1 Serbia, Group W 🇬🇭 1–0 Ghana, Group W 🏴 4–1 England, Round of 16 W 🇦🇷 4–0 Argentina, Quarter-final L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Semi-final W 🇺🇾 3–2 Uruguay, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.