🇧🇷 Brazil 2–1 North Korea 🇰🇵

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €366M · value #4 · Elo #2

2–1Brazil win

value €9M · value #32 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

91.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.12

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

572

2109 vs 1537

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup