🇧🇷 Brazil 3–1 Ivory Coast 🇨🇮

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €366M · value #4 · Elo #2

3–1Brazil win

value €177M · value #11 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

81.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.29

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

361

2111 vs 1750

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup