🇧🇷 Brazil 3–0 Chile 🇨🇱

2010 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €366M · value #4 · Elo #2

3–0Brazil win

value €78M · value #20 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

64.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.63

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

196

2103 vs 1907

Stage

Round of 16

2010 World Cup