🇧🇷 Brazil 0–0 Portugal 🇵🇹

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €366M · value #4 · Elo #2

0–0draw

value €277M · value #8 · Elo #10

Model P(result)

20.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.31

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

238

2121 vs 1883

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup