🇨🇱 Chile 1–0 Honduras 🇭🇳

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €78M · value #20 · Elo #9

1–0Chile win

value €44M · value #27 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

61.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.70

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

172

1886 vs 1714

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup