🇨🇱 Chile 1–0 Switzerland 🇨🇭

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €78M · value #20 · Elo #9

1–0Chile win

value €104M · value #14 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

49.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.02

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1902 vs 1815

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup