🇪🇸 Spain 2–0 Honduras 🇭🇳

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €650M · value #1 · Elo #1

2–0Spain win

value €44M · value #27 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

81.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.29

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

360

2058 vs 1698

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup