🇪🇸 Spain 2–1 Chile 🇨🇱

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €650M · value #1 · Elo #1

2–1Spain win

value €78M · value #20 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

57.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.80

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

143

2068 vs 1925

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup