🇮🇹 Italy 1–1 New Zealand 🇳🇿
2010 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇮🇹 Italy value €320M · value #6 · Elo #6
Daniele De Rossi €38M Gianluigi Buffon €30M Giorgio Chiellini €23M 1–1 draw
🇳🇿 New Zealand value €13M · value #31 · Elo #32
Ryan Nelsen €4M Rory Fallon €2M Winston Reid €1M Goals
Italy ▲ New Zealand ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Vincenzo Iaquinta 29' (pen) 29 Iaquinta Shane Smeltz 7' 7 Smeltz
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇮🇹 Italy
Federico Marchetti · GK 12 Marchetti Gianluca Zambrotta · RB 19 Zambrotta Domenico Criscito · LB 3 Criscito Giorgio Chiellini · CB 4 Chiellini Fabio Cannavaro · CB 5 Cannavaro Claudio Marchisio · LM 15 Marchisio Riccardo Montolivo · CM 22 Montolivo Daniele De Rossi · CM 6 Rossi Simone Pepe · RM 7 Pepe Alberto Gilardino · CF 11 Gilardino Vincenzo Iaquinta · SS 9 Iaquinta 🇳🇿 New Zealand
Mark Paston · GK 1 Paston Tommy Smith · LB 19 Smith Winston Reid · RB 4 Reid Ivan Vicelich · CB 5 Vicelich Ryan Nelsen · CB 6 Nelsen Leo Bertos · RM 11 Bertos Tony Lochhead · LM 3 Lochhead Simon Elliott · CM 7 Elliott Chris Killen · LW 10 Killen Rory Fallon · RW 14 Fallon Shane Smeltz · CF 9 Smeltz Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇮🇹 Italy 83.3% draw 13.6% 3.1% New Zealand 🇳🇿
Model P(result)
13.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#26
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.88
−log₂ P(observed)
Italy's run D 🇵🇾 1–1 Paraguay, Group D 🇳🇿 1–1 New Zealand, Group L 🇸🇰 2–3 Slovakia, Group New Zealand's run D 🇸🇰 1–1 Slovakia, Group D 🇮🇹 1–1 Italy, Group D 🇵🇾 0–0 Paraguay, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.