🇸🇰 Slovakia 3–2 Italy 🇮🇹

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €80M · value #19 · Elo #28

3–2Slovakia win

value €320M · value #6 · Elo #6

Model P(result)

8.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.62

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

270

1628 vs 1898

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup