🇮🇹 Italy 1–1 Paraguay 🇵🇾
2010 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇮🇹 Italy value €320M · value #6 · Elo #6
Daniele De Rossi €38M Gianluigi Buffon €30M Giorgio Chiellini €23M 1–1 draw
🇵🇾 Paraguay value €71M · value #22 · Elo #18
Óscar Cardozo €12M Lucas Barrios €11M Roque Santa Cruz €8M Goals
Italy ▲ Paraguay ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Daniele De Rossi 63' 63 Rossi Antolín Alcaraz 39' 39 Alcaraz
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇮🇹 Italy
Gianluigi Buffon · GK 1 Buffon Gianluca Zambrotta · RB 19 Zambrotta Domenico Criscito · LB 3 Criscito Giorgio Chiellini · CB 4 Chiellini Fabio Cannavaro · CB 5 Cannavaro Claudio Marchisio · AM 15 Marchisio Riccardo Montolivo · CM 22 Montolivo Daniele De Rossi · CM 6 Rossi Alberto Gilardino · CF 11 Gilardino Simone Pepe · RW 7 Pepe Vincenzo Iaquinta · LW 9 Iaquinta 🇵🇾 Paraguay
Justo Villar · GK 1 Villar Paulo da Silva · CB 14 Silva Antolín Alcaraz · CB 21 Alcaraz Claudio Morel · LB 3 Morel Carlos Bonet · RB 6 Bonet Enrique Vera · RM 13 Vera Víctor Cáceres · DM 15 Cáceres Cristian Riveros · CM 16 Riveros Aureliano Torres · LM 17 Torres Nelson Valdez · SS 18 Valdez Lucas Barrios · CF 19 Barrios Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇮🇹 Italy 61.4% draw 23.0% 15.6% Paraguay 🇵🇾
Model P(result)
23.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#86
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.12
−log₂ P(observed)
Italy's run D 🇵🇾 1–1 Paraguay, Group D 🇳🇿 1–1 New Zealand, Group L 🇸🇰 2–3 Slovakia, Group Paraguay's run D 🇮🇹 1–1 Italy, Group W 🇸🇰 2–0 Slovakia, Group D 🇳🇿 0–0 New Zealand, Group D 🇯🇵 0–0 Japan, Round of 16 L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.