🇳🇿 New Zealand 1–1 Slovakia 🇸🇰

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €13M · value #31 · Elo #32

1–1draw

value €80M · value #19 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

24.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.05

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

143

1527 vs 1670

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup