🇳🇿 New Zealand 0–0 Paraguay 🇵🇾

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €13M · value #31 · Elo #32

0–0draw

value €71M · value #22 · Elo #18

Model P(result)

19.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

245

1563 vs 1808

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup