🇳🇿 New Zealand 0–0 Paraguay 🇵🇾
2010 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇳🇿 New Zealand value €13M · value #31 · Elo #32
Ryan Nelsen €4M Rory Fallon €2M Winston Reid €1M 0–0 draw
🇵🇾 Paraguay value €71M · value #22 · Elo #18
Óscar Cardozo €12M Lucas Barrios €11M Roque Santa Cruz €8M Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇳🇿 New Zealand
Mark Paston · GK 1 Paston Tommy Smith · LB 19 Smith Winston Reid · RB 4 Reid Ryan Nelsen · CB 6 Nelsen Chris Killen · AM 10 Killen Leo Bertos · RM 11 Bertos Tony Lochhead · LM 3 Lochhead Ivan Vicelich · CM 5 Vicelich Simon Elliott · CM 7 Elliott Shane Smeltz · AM 9 Smeltz Rory Fallon · CF 14 Fallon 🇵🇾 Paraguay
Justo Villar · GK 1 Villar Paulo da Silva · CB 14 Silva Claudio Morel · LB 3 Morel Denis Caniza · RB 4 Caniza Julio Cáceres · CB 5 Cáceres Enrique Vera · LM 13 Vera Víctor Cáceres · DM 15 Cáceres Cristian Riveros · RM 16 Riveros Nelson Valdez · AM 18 Valdez Roque Santa Cruz · AM 9 Cruz Óscar Cardozo · CF 7 Cardozo Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇳🇿 New Zealand 9.7% draw 19.8% 70.5% Paraguay 🇵🇾
Model P(result)
19.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#58
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.33
−log₂ P(observed)
New Zealand's run D 🇸🇰 1–1 Slovakia, Group D 🇮🇹 1–1 Italy, Group D 🇵🇾 0–0 Paraguay, Group Paraguay's run D 🇮🇹 1–1 Italy, Group W 🇸🇰 2–0 Slovakia, Group D 🇳🇿 0–0 New Zealand, Group D 🇯🇵 0–0 Japan, Round of 16 L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.