🇩🇪 Germany 4–0 Australia 🇦🇺

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €290M · value #7 · Elo #5

4–0Germany win

value €66M · value #23 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

62.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.67

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

183

1957 vs 1774

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup